Australia’s Third Political Option

Currently the Australian government has 74 Coalition members in the House of Representatives, 58 of whom are members of the Liberal Party of Australia, and 16 are members of the Nationals.

The Opposition is formed by the Australian Labor Party with 69 members.

The 7 remaining members, often referred to as the Crossbench, are formed of 4 Independents, and single members of 3 minor parties, Australian Greens, Centre Alliance, and Katter’s Australian Party.

The Crossbench Political Option

The Crossbench should not be written off as far as political power is concerned, since they have frequently held the “balance of power” if not in the House of Representatives, at least in the Senate.

One need only recall the “hung parliament” from the 2010 federal election in which the ALP was able to provide stable government with the support of 3 Independents and one Australian Green under the Prime Ministership of Julia Gillard.

The power of the Crossbench could well be greater after the 2019 election if small-l Liberal voters who feel disenfranchised by the shift of the Liberal Party to the Right and are wary of Labor’s economic credentials, look for candidates who best represent their policy preferences.

Former Prime Minister Tony Abbott who has held the safe Liberal seat of Warringah for the past 24 years, now has a formidable high-profile Independent Candidate in Zali Steggall. The veteran of many a political battle has betrayed his feeling of vulnerability by urging voters to vote for the ALP candidate rather than the Independent, Zali Steggall.

Even the very elite of the Liberal Party face the possibility of defeat at the next election by well credentialed Independent candidates if the present trend continues. You might imagine that rebellious Conservatives would refrain in an election campaign from continuing to provoke Moderate Liberal voters, but not so.

For me the most egregious media stirrer of unrest is the smirking indefatigable Andrew Bolt who is completely undeterred from promoting fanciful conspiracy theories, this time that it is Malcolm Turnbull who is orchestrating an Independent campaign against those responsible for his overthrow. Where is the evidence Andrew?

House of Representatives Crossbench on display in First Q and A for 2019

The Panelists for the ABC’s first Q and A program for 2019 on 04/02/2019 were five members of the House of Representatives Crossbench:

  • Adam Bandt, Greens Party, for the seat of Melbourne
  • Julia Banks, currently an Independent for the seat of Chisholm
  • Kerryn Phelps, Independent Member for the seat of Wentworth
  • Rebekha Sharkie, Centre Alliance Member for Mayo
  • Andrew Wilkie, Independent Member for the seat of Denison.

I understand that it was Adam Brandt who first mooted a Banking Royal Commission, not Labor. Each of the above five members have made valuable parliamentary contributions, including Dr Kerryn Phelps who has already come up with a well thought-out Urgent Medical Treatment Bill that will provide prompt expert compassionate healthcare for asylum seekers without undermining the integrity of Australia’s refugee policy.

Thank God we all have a democratic vote!

Despite the limitations of our political system, individual parliamentarians and political parties are eventually accountable at the ballot-box.

Let us vote for those we think have Australia’s best interests at heart, rather than their own!

Posted in Political debate

Time for voters to scrutinize Labor’s economic policies.

With less than four months until Australia’s proposed federal election 18 May 2019, it is time for those long-term Liberal supporters who have been disgusted with the antics of the right and are proposing to change their allegiance, to take another look at Labor’s radical economic proposals. Will they be willing to accept possible adverse economic consequences of voting Labor?

Are Liberals Deserting a sinking ship or Is the Party undergoing a Renewal Process?

According to “Happy Jack” Scott Morrison’s confident reassurances, the Party is being refreshed by the changes now afoot, but to most onlookers it looks more like all is not well within the divided Coalition and they are about to be voted out of office:

  • Current ministers Kelly O’Dwyer, David Bushby, Michael Keenan and Nigel Scullion are not seeking re-election for personal reasons.
  • Several Conservative Liberal members such as Tony Abbott and Peter Dutton, face a voting backlash from their electorates.
  • Julia Banks and Ann Sudumalis have left the Party with accusations of sexism and bullying.
  • The National Party Member for Mallee Andrew Broad has resigned over admitted sexual indiscretions.
  • SA Senator Lucy Gichuhi and NSW Senator Jim Molan have been demoted on their State tickets, and are unlikely to be returned.
  • There have been rumours that former Turnbull Ministers, Julie Bishop, and Craig Laundy are also thinking of not running.

With the Coalition in disarray, is Labor a safe alternative for disaffected small-l Liberal supporters?

Federal Labor, in contradistinction to the Coalition, is presenting as a united Party ready to assume office with a talented team of near equal numbers of women and men, a commitment to the Environment, and a well intentioned desire to improve the lot of the less fortunate in society.

Believers in the core Liberal values of small government, and private enterprise, are likely however to be uneasy about Labor’s oft stated intention to end negative gearing except for new constructions, and properties already negatively geared. The current capital gains tax concession of 50% will be simultaneously halved to a 25% concession.

Ambitiously, Labor has three unrelated objectives for these two measures:

  • more affordable housing
  • wealth redistribution
  • raising revenue to fund their reform initiatives.

In essence Labor is not prepared to construct and manage affordable rental accommodation itself, but expects investors to do so for them, whilst increasing their financial risks, and diminishing their return.

Savvy investors will undoubtedly consider options to thwart the government’s plan to increase their taxes, and at the same time to vilify them for being rich.

Does Labor have the discipline to manage economic uncertainty?

Labor governments aspire to being reformist, and good reforms are usually expensive. This is not to say that they are what Paul Keating derogatorily called “bleeding hearts”

He himself was a pragmatist, who did not hesitate to employ the economic levers available to him to meet Labor objectives. Unfortunately, the economy did suffer under his supervision, as he allowed interest rates to rise to a stratospheric 17% to control inflation. Business activity stalled under high costs, and faced with an election in NSW, he opted to restore the negative gearing he had abolished three years earlier.

Rentals increased 25% between1985 and 1987, but it was only in Sydney and Perth that there was an increase in Nominal Rents with the rent rise exceeding the inflation rate (then about 16-17%). Soon after restoring negative gearing, the stock-market crashed, plunging Australia into further financial crisis.

Posted in Political debate

Complacency, the curse of incumbency!

In the last few days of Parliamentary sitting this year, PM Scott Morrison and his team repeatedly accused the Labor Party of gloating over the divisions within the Coalition, and taking for granted a victory at the next election. But if anything it is they, rather than Labor, that is exhibiting a dangerously complacent culture.

Two terms from incumbency, the Labor Party is being as painstaking as possible to avoid the appearance of complacency. They are developing democratically agreed party policy positions, and their rhetoric has softened. Labor is being seen as the more likely party to form government, and even Andrew Bolt has acknowledged this by interviewing Bill Shorten on his Sky News program.

The perception is that Labor has built a diligent and competent team, eager and able to assume office with moderate policies, now that the Coalition is faltering. Much of the Coalition’s squabbling and self-serving poor parliamentary behaviour over the past year can be ascribed to having become complacent in office. They have developed a misplaced sense of self-importance and entitlement. Their year of disgrace has now ended with the revelations of the sexual indiscretions of the National Party Member for Mallee, Andrew Broad.

Rather than imposing a needed discipline on the Coalition, an ebullient and triumphal sounding Scott Morrison has cockily vaunted his advantage over Bill Shorten in the polls of preferred prime minister. He obviously fancies his chances of winning at the approaching election contest between the two of them.

Many previously loyal supporters have been quite appalled and angered by the Liberal antics of this year. So they may well express their disapproval, especially of those they hold most responsible, by casting their vote elsewhere this time. In fact, a term or two in the wilderness of opposition may be just what the Coalition needs to remake its image.

Posted in Political debate

Cherish our Children!

At Christmas we honour a baby, the baby Jesus, and symbolically heaven’s most precious gift to mankind, our children.

Let us delight them this day, remembering that our love and nurturing care are our greatest gifts to them.

They are our future. They can enrich our lives and have the potential with our guidance to open up new horizons for the good of the world, if we will but enable their burgeoning genius.

Enjoy, not exploit and abuse them! They are at our mercy!

Posted in Community Issues

A missed opportunity for unity of energy policy

When NSW’s Energy Minister Don Harwin called on the Federal Minister Angus Taylor at the COAG energy meeting in Adelaide this week to add an emission obligation to the agenda for discussion, it was resolutely blocked.

Angus Taylor after the meeting expressed satisfaction that he had been able to maintain a steely focus on energy reliability and price, without the distraction of arguing over emission targets. However his stubborn negativity, is not helping the Coalition’s chance of re-election next year.

It has not been the change of Prime Ministers per se that has turned voters off the Coalition. What moderates are up in arms about, more than anything else, is the dismantling of three times approved Liberal Policy on Climate Change, based on the best available scientific advice, to ensure that Australia’s energy production meets appropriate standards for both reliability and emissions control.

The public is concerned when there are temperatures in excess of 40 degrees in April and November, droughts of increasing severity, lasting 6-7 years, bush-fires before and after the usual bush-fire season, and simultaneous flooding rains and cyclones in others parts of the country.

Tony Abbott’s categorisation of climate change science as “absolute crap”, and his derisive comments directed at those who take climate change seriously have not yet been forgotten.

Don Harwin’s position has gone a long way to improving the NSW Coalition’s prospects at the March 23 2019 election. But there is another reason why if Angus Taylor is really concerned for Australia’s future he would have encouraged debate on emissions.

The Business Council of Australia commended Don Harwin for his stance, and has pointed out the need for certainty as to how emissions will be treated, before business makes major long-term investment decisions. Both the States and Labor have expressed a willingness to unite on energy policy to provide that certainty for business, but to their shame, the Coalition under Scott Morrison will have none of it.

Not only has the Coalition no emission reduction target, and thus does not require power companies to reduce carbon emissions, but they also have an intent to ramp-up Coal Mining, for both export and local use, and to deliver new government subsidised coal-fired power stations.

The selling pitch to consumers is cheaper electricity prices delivered by screwing company profits.

Posted in Uncategorized

The Dean of Climate Change!

Don’t expect accurate investigative journalistic comment from Rowan Dean. After all, he is  just an entertainer, with a quick and acerbic wit, always at the expense of others, never himself.  Does one laugh at his absurdities or kill his diatribes by switching channels?

Last night (12/12/2018) I happened on his Sky News “Outsider” Program and was so mesmerised by his merciless put-down of those poor builders of wood boats, South Sea Islanders who were fearful of the effects of climate change on their low-lying coral atolls, that I could not bring myself to switch him off. 

Rowan, however, was most reassuring of their plight. He had an authority with first-hand experience of their situation who could put their minds at rest.  Yes it was none other than the former Minister of International Development and the Pacific, Concetta Fieravanti-Wells. On her return from Fiji she had reported to him that if there was any change, it was miniscule.

It was not stated whether her opinion was based on tide gauge data, satellite observation of sea-levels, or simply on the basis of eye-balling of coastal areas. Nor was there any comment made on where the observations were made. 

A graph, posted on NASA’s Global Change website, using tide gauge data, credited to the CSIRO, shows there was an increase in sea level of about 230mm or 9.13 inches between 1870 and 2000.

data graph

Another graph derived from satellite sea level Data between 1993 and August 2018,  supplied by NASA Goddard Space Flight Centre shows an increase of just over 40 mm; the average rate of change being 3.2 mm per year.

This is a website produced by the Earth Science Communications Team at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, the California Institute of Technology.

The ICESat-2 satellite

For those of us who would wish to be as accurately informed as possible about the impact of climate change on sea-levels, it is exciting to note that NASA now has a new tool of investigation. 

Three months ago NASA launched a satellite, ICESat-2, specifically to study changes in earth’s changing ice.

By Kate Ramsayer,
NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center

Less than three months into its mission, NASA’s Ice, Cloud and land Elevation Satellite-2, or ICESat-2, is already exceeding scientists’ expectations. The satellite is measuring the height of sea ice to within an inch, tracing the terrain of previously unmapped Antarctic valleys, surveying remote ice sheets, and peering through forest canopies and shallow coastal waters.
With each pass of the ICESat-2 satellite, the mission is adding to data sets tracking Earth’s rapidly changing ice. Researchers are ready to use the information to study sea level rise resulting from melting ice sheets and glaciers, and to improve sea ice and climate forecasts.
“ICESat-2 is going to be a fantastic tool for research and discovery, both for cryospheric sciences and other disciplines,” said Tom Neumann, ICESat-2 project scientist at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland.
Neumann and others with ICESat-2’s science team shared the first look at the satellite’s findings at the American Geophysical Union’s annual meeting on Tuesday in Washington, D.C.

 Local sea-level readings are highly variable, and influenced by many factors, including the effect of ocean currents, variations in land height, upstream flood control and erosion following deforestation.

What is incontrovertible however is an inexorable trend of globally rising sea-level with the melting if ice. We may not be able to accurately forecast future changes, but at least we are now able to monitor them with increasing accuracy, thanks to the science of space travel.  

Unfortunately for the Coalition Party, it is now controlled both in rhetoric and in policy by vocal climate change deniers. Surely it is wiser for our leaders to be acting to reduce risk, than to court disaster by ignoring the science. 

Posted in Uncategorized

Is an Independent Vote a wasted vote?

The two major parties would certainly have you think so. They argue that it is only they who can govern, and execute their agreed policies for the benefit of their support base.

On this rationale, you and I really have only these two choices,. One party that simplistically speaking, represents the “haves”, or “would be haves”. Another party that purports to champion the causes of the “have-nots” or those who are envious of the “haves”.

However within each party are extremes of approach. Politicians of both persuasions polarise themselves into right and left factions. Others, in common with many voters, dislike extremes and prefer to be called centrists or moderates.

Instead of policies being formulated and executed principally on the basis of national good, sectional financial interests frequently dominate.  

Dr Kerryn Phelps in the short time that she has been in parliament has shown an ability to look at issues objectively, on the basis of available evidence, to argue persuasively, and to initiate legislation aimed at the national interest. 

We need more not fewer such high calibre independents in our parliament, but without party support, the odds of them being elected are slim. 

Posted in Uncategorized

It’s the Environment, not the Economy, that is likely to be the main election Issue.

 The Coalition is on strong ground when it asserts its economic credentials, but the next federal election is more likely to be won by the Party that takes the threat of lasting Climate Change damage to the environment more seriously. 

It is surprising therefore that leading conservative Liberal apologist Andrew Bolt should think that world renowned Naturalist film-maker, Sir David Attenborough, speaking at the United Nations Climate Summit in coal dependent Poland, is making a fool of himself. 

Right now, we’re facing a man-made disaster of global scale,” Attenborough told delegates from almost 200 nations. “Our greatest threat in thousands of years: climate change. If we don’t take action, the collapse of our civilizations and the extinction of much of the natural world is on the horizon.”
Attenborough was chosen to speak at the summit as part of the U.N.’s new “people’s seat” initiative, which encouraged citizens of the world to share their personal messages and videos explaining how climate change has already affected their lives. Several of these messages were shared as part of Attenborough’s speech today; they included footage of people standing in front of the ashen remains of their homes, which had been incinerated by wildfires. [6 Spectacular Species Named for David Attenborough]
“The world’s people have spoken,” Attenborough said. “Their message is clear. Time is running out. They want you, the decision-makers, to act now.”
This meeting of the U.N. was convened so that leaders of the world could negotiate ways to turn their pledges made at the 2015 Paris climate accord into a reality. Per the Paris accord, 184 countries agreed to implement emissions-reduction policies to help limit global warming to less than 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) above preindustrial levels over the next century. Most of the world’s nations are not on track to meet this goal; in fact, a global temperature rise of 4 degrees C (7.2 degrees F) seems far more likely right now.
According to a recent U.N. climate report, even limiting warming to 1.5 degrees C (2.7 degrees F) this century could result in serious consequences for the planet’s cities and ecosystems. Those effects include increased flooding and severe weather around the world, the destruction of up to 90 percent of the ocean’s coral reefs, mass animal extinctions, and food shortages brought on by regular droughts. A recent U.S. climate assessment, released quietly over Thanksgiving weekend by President Donald Trump’s White House, affirmed these findings and the impending danger of climate change.
“Leaders of the world, you must lead,” Attenborough concluded. “The continuation of our civilizations and the natural world upon which we depend is in your hands.”

The Liberal Party, hijacked by the Conservatives, is misguided if it thinks ordinary Australians will accept their inactivity in the face of severe droughts, record high temperatures with bushfires, and simultaneous alarming floods, before summer even starts. In addition we are being confronted by an inexorable degradation of our coral reefs. 

This UN Climate Change Summit is hearing of similar disasters right around the world. No wonder Sir David Attenborough’s speech resonated with the attendees, if not with Andrew Bolt. 

It is shameful that the Coalition government is now not even on track to meet its considered Paris Accord Emissions Target, and is instead planning to take a “big stick” to the energy providers to drop their prices. 

Our proportion of world emission production may be small, but through energy exports we are indirectly responsible for a larger percentage of the world’s fossil fuel consumption. 

Posted in Uncategorized

Who is trying to kill whom?

Most Australians thought that the Libs had killed off Malcolm Turnbull but indefatigable conservative bogger Andrew Bolt has a different take. Turnbull fell on his sword  and resigned to plunge the Libs into disarray, and is now plotting to destroy the Liberal Party.

All because he was abandoned by his mother before he was ten. Brilliant logic Andrew! This is why there is little hope for the Libs to become a broad church again, even with Scott Morrison’s admirable efforts to keep the peace. 


Andrew Bolt, Herald Sun, December 6, 2018 6:54am

” It’s now dawning on the Liberals that Malcolm Turnbull wants the Morrison Government dead. Annihilated. Murdered at the next election.

I think Turnbull isn’t just angry at being dumped as prime minister. He deeply, achingly needs the Liberals to now go down in a screaming heap.

That is what’s now behind his rampage to drive out Liberal MPs and force the Morrison Government to an early election he knows would destroy it.

That is why he refused to lift a finger to save his seat of Wentworth at last month’s by-election, but has lobbied to dump conservative MP Craig Kelly and send Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton to the High Court.

That is why he is now privately consulting with Liberal enemies — new independent MP Kerryn Phelps, Liberal defector Julia Banks and even Labor leader Bill Shorten.

It seems he’s gone berserk and it stuns me that it’s taken senior Liberals this long to figure out his real game. It’s risky to perform amateur psychoanalysis but Turnbull himself has spoken several times, and movingly, of how his mother walked out on his father and him when he was not yet 10.”

The Conservatives in parliament have been subdued since the leadership spill. They are on the defensive, fearful of losing their own seats at the next election.; but not Andrew Bolt and his ilk. After all, they are not answerable to the public, and can say whatever they chose, whether it is accurate or not. 

The protracted, and bitter tug- of war contest between Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard for leadership of the Labor Party, and the Prime Ministership of Australia, was personality rather than policy driven. Time heals such disagreements, and with new rules for the election of their Leader, Labor is rejuvenated.  

The future of the Liberal Party however is less clear given the intransigence of the more religious Conservatives. Unfortunately their scruples are not restricted to issues of morality the public respects, but extend to other policies they hold with the fervour of religious creeds; issues such as climate change and racial superiority. 

It will be these policies of the Right, and their unbending triumphalist rhetoric, that could undo the Liberals at the next election, not Malcolm Turnbull.. 

Posted in Uncategorized

The Contrasting Styles of Scott Morrison and Kerryn Phelps!

Scott Morrison became the 30th Prime Minister of Australia after a leadership ballot on the 24th August 2018 bringing to a head nearly three years of factional in-fighting between the much smaller ultra-conservative wing with Right on their side, and a larger, less cohesive faction which has been derisively called the wets, but is most commonly referred to as small-l liberal.

Frustrated after unrelenting attacks on his authority from the Conservatives, culminating in rejection of the previously approved National Energy Guarantee scheme, Malcolm Turnbull called and easily won a leadership ballot. However in so doing he lost the support of some key Liberals who perceived the weakness of his position and hoped that by replacing him, it would end the bickering. 

When he vainly sought help from Newscorp chief Rupert Murdoch to end the poor press the government was receiving, he was simply told that it would not be so bad if Labor gained office for a term or two. This may be true, but it was not the response he was hoping for. Scott Morrison was the winner of the second leadership ballot but will he be able to do any better?

He does fancy his chances of winning the next election, having cockily thrown down the gauntlet to Bill Shorten, that it will be a contest between the two of them.  He has launched an electioneering charm offensive in the past three and a half months that has him well ahead of his adversary as preferred Prime Minister in the polls. With fighting words he appears to be rallying Coalition spirits. 

Disillusioning however for moderates, is his shift away from the small-l Liberal policies he had previously supported,  and unwillingness to accept any blame on the part of the federal Liberal Party for the recent Liberal loss of the Victorian State election.  He also risks being seen as a weak  leader who fails to adequately support outraged female Liberal parliamentarians who feel they have been bullied by their male colleagues.  He does at present however enjoy solid Conservative backing for the decisions he has been making.

Scott Morrison’s  loquacious and rather aggressive debating technique could be a negative for him.  Naturally he likes to trump his own views over those of others, but if he can’t, he tends to stone-wall, and to parrot off paeans of self-congratulatory praise for the superiority of Liberal economic management, without acknowledging any part Malcolm Turnbull may have played. Scare tactics if too oft repeated, may be a put-off.   

Dr Kerryn Phelps, the newly elected Independent Member for Malcolm Turnbull’s old seat of Wentworth has only just taken her place on the cross-benches of Federal Parliament but already she has introduced a needed Bill for bringing suffering refugee children and their families on Nauru back to Australia for treatment as deemed necessary by two agreeing doctors.

With her medical background and rational approach to important issues, first collecting relevant information, and then carefully evaluating each situation, she is striking a contrast to Scott Morrison’s habit of floating political policy changes before adequate consultation, and then failing to following them through.

It is refreshing to listen to her detailed and considered replies to media questions.  She is humane and practical, a role model for other parliamentarians. No wonder she appealed to so many moderate voters in the Wentworth by-election on October 20, 2018. That is not to say that Liberal candidate David Sharma is not an excellent candidate as well, (as is the Labor candidate), who may win the next election, but until then she  is setting a welcome standard of debate.  

Posted in Political debate